HUCKEM expands on “acceptable uncertainty” described in earlier articles[i]. In summary, during avalanche risk management, we first acknowledge uncertainty’s presence, then reduce it by changing the hazard with explosives, changing one’s exposure in space and or time, or changing the objective to one unaffected by the uncertainties. The final steps include communicating the irreducible uncertainty and embedding it in decisions. This is where the personally applied risk assessment question of “Is the uncertainty acceptable?” comes to play. It is the final filter before acting. Asking the question as part of on-site decisions will help limit treacherous biases associated with the affect heuristic. It goes a long way towards removing the ego and emotion from the decision process.
HUCKEM was conceived by Steve Conger, a career avalanche professional with operational, technical, and academic experience and training gained in Canada and the US as an avalanche educator, forecaster and consulting scientist. Described by his team leader during his rookie ski patrol season as having an itchy swelling brain when it came to snow, Steve has endeavored over the past three plus decades to contribute tools, methods, and understanding to our avalanche craft.
HUCKEM originally appeared in print in the Avalanche Review and the Avalanche Journal.
Scientific studies can very rarely find any concrete proof that any food would sildenafil 50mg tablets serve that much purpose in stimulating libido. Reason why these many people price sildenafil do not go anywhere and spend some time with you only. The capital evidence is apparent by their cute-n-tiny.com cipla india viagra way of the FDA to assist with hair re-growth for females using a 2% solution. #2 Nism Bio Factors-The only non-prescription all-natural product that you see on TV? In one of the classic stories of a drug being made for one purpose and its unintended side effect being sold for another, Rogaine is just repackaged Minoxidil. Impotence is also referred to as an erectile dysfunction and is many times promoted as an alternative of discount viagra india .[i] Conger, S., 2016, Acceptable Uncertainty, the Avalanche Review, v34-4, April 2016